 |
 |
|
|
| |
 |
| |
As you read across, you'll see most of the numbers are
the same except for the marker highlighted in light green.
Cousin 3 shows the mutation at DYS392.
The results follow the paper genealogy that Cousins 1 and
2, who match each other at all 21 markers, are closely related.
Cousin 3 is related, but more distantly so.
(If the above is a little confusing at first, don't
worry! We'll do our utmost to explain what your results mean
to you)
Genetic genealogy can substantiate the known, paper genealogy
and help prove that two or more individuals, with the same
surname, are connected by a common ancestor.
Estimating when that common ancestor actually lived is left
down to mathematics and statistics. Studies show that although
a mutation at any particular marker is a random event, it
is expected to change roughly once every 500 generations.
It is like a ticking clock, although this DNA clock doesn't
always chime right on time.
Since DNA Heritage uses 43 markers, we can expect to see a
single mutation once every 12 generations (500/43 = 11.6)
- however your paternal DNA may have changed more recently,
or is about to do so in a couple of generations time.
This simply means that the further back the MRCA (most recent
common ancestor), the more mutations are expected.
If we have an exact match on all 21 markers, the average time
when the MRCA lived is only 8.3 generations ago.
If there is a single mismatch (mutation) then this time increases
to 20.5 generations.
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Because mutations occur randomly, the average time to the
MRCA can only be an estimate of when the MRCA actually lived.
It can be a long time before or a long time afterwards - the
95% confidence interval is given in the third column (i.e.
95% of all cases will appear within that range).
So how many mutations/mismatches are needed to exclude a
relationship? Well, as we said before, more mutations equates
to a more distant relationship. With 21 markers, 2 mutations
between haplotypes is a very much borderline result, but 3
mutations would usually exclude the possibility of a relationship
between two individuals.
Now that we've tackled some statistics and haplotypes, let's
put it into the context of a family research study.
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
North American office: P.O. Box 160, Carmine, TX 78932-0160 USA tel/fax: Toll free 866-7-DNA-DNA |
European office: 40 Preston Road, Weymouth, Dorset,
DT3 6PZ, UK tel:+44 (0) 1305 834936 fax:+44 (0)
1305 835925 |
|
|